S&P Melt Up Getting a Little Out of Hand

meltup20161208
trumpdance
Rug Pull Coming Soon?

rugpull

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Is the “Trump Rally” Losing Steam?

Historically we see it can grind a while before the bottom falls out, however according to that projection there is only about a 20% chance of a significant near term dip.
projection20161129

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Apparently the S&P 500 hasn’t been this Boring since 1994

According to the Archetype Matches, price movement in the S&P over the last couple weeks closely matches periods in 1993 and 1994, about the same time of year also. Surprisingly when projecting those periods out two months there is almost no change (see circled area)
projection20160817

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Fear Has Disappeared, S&P 500 Back in Falling Up Mode

Here is an update to the Archetype Projections from Mid June
projection20160615b

bearcrush
shorttitanic

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Them Wacky British

After surprises in the British Euro exit referendum, US stock futures are getting demolished.
S&P 500 futures were down as many as 75 points to as low as 2,030 while Dow futures were off more than 550 points to around 17,400. Both S&P 500 and Dow futures were down more than 3.5%.

nukeWho’s next? Italeave, Czech-out, Finnish, Departugal, or maybe Oustria.
drama

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After Rebounding as Expected some Volatility Finally Returns

After 6 Months of doing pretty much nothing some Volatility in the S&P 500 Finally Returns. *yawn*
You will see from the recent Archetype Matches that the path of least resistance for the next few weeks is upward or sideways if historical probability patterns hold true.
projection20160615

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Two Close Archetype Matches to the Start of 2016

projection20160115

Projections suggest the S&P 500 may be confined to a channel of a couple percent over the next 10 days.

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At last a little excitement after grinding sideways for most of 2015

But will this time be different?
bearthink

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S&P Archetype Matches for the Last 3 Weeks of October

Not surprised by the slow grind higher judging from recent dips, the last projections we posted slightly favored a rise but this time though it appears upside is probably limited to a couple percent.
projection20151101

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